Introduction

The pedigree of the Targaryen family is complex, especially when the purported twin of Daenerys Targaryen, long believed to have perished at birth, was in reality a warrior like Daemon Blackfyre. Considering the impact of such a character on the political landscape of Westeros, it is worth exploring the question: would the Blackfyre Rebellion still have taken place under these circumstances?

The Impact of a Warrior Twin

Assuming the child of Aegon IV Targaryen, the son of Daenerys and Viserys, indeed existed and was a warrior like Daemon Blackfyre, it would naturally have shifted Westerosi politics. The traditional preference for the trueborn over bastard lords would have seen support gravitating towards this Eldarion figure, given his military prowess and royal lineage. This shift would have likely sidelined both Daemon and Daeron in favor of a contender who was seen as a potential unifier of the fractured Targaryen family.

Supporting a Trueborn Royal

Daemon Blackfyre, not having a trueborn sibling, may have willingly supported Eldarion. However, unlike Daemon, Eldarion’s loyalty would be more inclined towards the legitimate Targaryen line, particularly Daeron. This would have introduced a significant check on Bittersteel and Quentyn Ball, who sought to elevate Daemon's cause. As a result, the groundwork for the Blackfyre Rebellion might have been substantially altered.

Political Alignment and Faction Dynamics

Even if Eldarion formed a close alliance with Daeron’s sons, the political landscape would not have remained static. The potential for the Blackfyre Rebellions could still persist, albeit with different factions and strategies. For instance, if Eldarion were to marry into the Lannister family, his support might have been realigned, but the core motives driving the Blackfyre Rebellions—such as the desire for restoration of Targaryen rule—would likely remain unchanged.

The Complex Dynamics of Love and Political Allegiance

The situation becomes even more intricate if we consider the marriage of Daenerys to her twin brother, Eldarion. This marriage would have brought Dorne into the equation, effectively reinforcing the Targaryen hold on the south. It also poses challenging scenarios for Daenerys’ romance with Daemon, given her promise to her brother. Her love for Daemon played a significant role in his motivations for the Blackfyre Rebellion, and if she were to fall in love with another individual, it would profoundly impact his cause.

Conclusions and Speculative Scenarios

Given the uncertainties about the true nature and alliances of a hypothetical Eldarion, it is difficult to definitively say whether the Blackfyre Rebellion would have occurred or how it would have evolved. While the presence of a trueborn warrior like Eldarion would have shifted some political dynamics, the fundamental drivers of the rebellion, such as the desire for Targaryen restoration and the underlying conflicts within the family, would still persist. The answer largely hinges on the character traits and actions of Eldarion, which remain unknown.