Would Lysa Tully Protect Bran and Rickon if They Fled to the Vale After Escaping Winterfell?

Introduction

The A Song of Ice and Fire series, created by George R.R. Martin, is a deeply textured universe filled with complex characters and intricate plotlines. One of the most surprising moments in the series is Sansa Stark's decision to flee to the Vale of Arryn with her siblings Bran and Rickon. However, there is much speculation about whether they should have followed a different path, such as seeking the protection of their aunt Lysa Tully. In this analysis, we will explore why Lysa Tully would prove to be an unsuitable protector for Bran and Rickon Stark if they fled to the Vale after escaping Winterfell.

Navigation and Arrival at the Vale

Assuming Bran and Rickon, along with their cousins Sansa, Arya, and their direwolves, escape from Winterfell, their journey to the Vale might seem like a strategic move. However, the path they took is fraught with danger. Their first challenge would be navigating past Moat Cailin, held by the Ironborn, or traveling by ship to Gulltown. The former is highly risky given theIronborn's reputation for piracy, while the latter would require a passage through the Neck, which, despite Hodor's assistance, would be extremely difficult.

Traveling Through the Narrow Neck

The trip through the Neck would be demanding, especially with Hodor, a crippled child, and two direwolves. Their journey would certainly not be as easy as the one Bran and Meera took to reach the Wall in A Storm of Swords. Additionally, the likelihood of encountering Bolton men-at-arms traveling south increases, making their passage through the mountains improbable.

The Red Wedding and the Dead Lysa

Upon reaching the Twins, Bran and Rickon, along with their group, would encounter another significant obstacle. By the time they arrive, the Red Wedding would likely have happened, leading to Lysa's death. This event would render the Vale's strategic position less favorable, leaving them at the mercy of Littlefinger.

Littlefinger's Mercy or Unceptions of Danger

Lord Petyr Baelish, alias Littlefinger, is a complex character with motives often hidden behind a facade of amiability and loyalty. His loyalty to House Stark is still questionable, and his methods have always been shrouded in suspicion. While he might provide sanctuary to take care of Bran and Rickon, it is highly unlikely that they would approach him as a blind trust. Summer and Shaggydog, despite their bravery, would likely struggle to navigate the Eyrie, and even if they did, it would be challenging to overpower Baelish's men.

The Consequences of Their Decision

Had Bran and Rickon decided to seek refuge in the Vale, the consequences could have been dire. Their absence would have significant repercussions, affecting not only their aunt Lysa but other characters in the series, such as Jon Snow. Bran's distraction at Queen's Crown that led to the Night's Watch being warned about Mance Rayder's assault is crucial. Without this event, the Night's Watch might not have been prepared, leading to possible disaster. Similarly, Jon's survival would be compromised, potentially negating Stannis Baratheon's efforts to save the Wall.

Conclusion

Therefore, it is clear that Bran and Rickon made a wise choice in not seeking refuge in the Vale with Lysa Tully. Their journey through Moat Cailin, and their alternative destination, White Harbor, with Lord Wyman Manderly's hospitality, would likely have been a safer and more strategic choice. The potential for Lysa's death and Littlefinger's manipulation further underscores the importance of their decision.

Keywords: A Song of Ice and Fire, Sansa Stark, Lysa Tully, The Vale