Why Didn't the Blackfish Declare for Jon Snow After Robb Died?

Following Robb Stark's death at the infamous Red Wedding, the political landscape had markedly shifted. This event significantly weakened the Stark cause, leaving the North in a state of turmoil. What led the Blackfish to withhold his support from Jon Snow, his potential future leader? This article delves into the complex political dynamics, personal loyalties, and strategic choices that influenced the Blackfish's decision.

Political Landscape

After the Red Wedding, the Stark cause had taken a severe hit. The Blackfish, a key figure in the North, likely viewed Jon Snow's claim to leadership as less viable compared to the inherent legitimacy of the Stark house. The political landscape was fraught with uncertainty and betrayal, making the decision to align with a new leader a daunting prospect.

Personal Loyalty

The Blackfish had a deep-seated sense of loyalty to House Stark, particularly to Robb. Declaring for Jon, who was not a direct Stark by birth, would have felt like a betrayal to Robb's memory and the Stark legacy. This personal loyalty was a significant factor in the Blackfish's decision-making process.

Strategic Choices

The Blackfish was focused on maintaining Riverrun and the Tully stronghold against the Lannisters and Freys. His priorities were centred on preserving Tully strength rather than immediately aligning with a new leader in the North, especially one whose legitimacy was still questioned.

Jon’s Situation

At the time of Robb's death, Jon Snow was still with the Night's Watch and had not yet made his claim to leadership in the North. The Blackfish may not have seen Jon as a viable leader, given his distance and the challenges that lay ahead.

The Strategic Gambit of Robb Stark

It is unclear if the Blackfish knew about Robb's plans to legitimize Jon Snow and name him as his successor. Robb had not officially made this decree until he left Riverrun, heading towards the Twins. It's possible that if Robb had communicated his intentions, the Blackfish might have acted differently.

Statements and Actions

During the siege of Riverrun, the Blackfish's reaction to Jamie Lannister's offer to take the black (join the Night's Watch) was telling. He stated, 'I will permit you to take the black. Ned Stark's bastard is the Lord Commander on the Wall,' suggesting his mistrust of Jon Snow as a Lannister stooge.

Possible Interpretations

Could the Blackfish genuinely mistrust Jon Snow as a Lannister stooge? The lack of personal interactions with Jon, coupled with his mistrust of other figures in the North, raises questions. Robb's assurances might have been insufficient to overcome the Blackfish's deep-seated doubts. It could be that the Blackfish was simply being cautious, as declaring for Jon would place him in a precarious position without improving the safety of Riverrun.

Conclusion

The decision of the Blackfish not to declare for Jon Snow after Robb's death was influenced by various factors, including personal loyalty, strategic considerations, and the complex political landscape. Understanding these dynamics provides insight into the intricate decisions made during this tumultuous period in Westeros.