The Biden Dilemma: Can He Really Be the Democrat Nominee for 2024?

Introduction

The question of whether Joe Biden will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 election is one that divides many voters, especially those who have shown support for Biden in the past. There's growing skepticism, with many feeling like an incumbent who has been in office for several years is not the best choice. This article aims to explore the reasons behind this skepticism and the broader political implications.

The Reality of the Nomination Process

As of May 2024, it is approaching too late to stage a major campaign for a new Democratic nominee. The selection of Biden as the nominee is almost a fait accompli, determined by more influential figures within the party - the so-called 'Democratic power brokers.' These individuals, many of whom are corporate Democrats and have held power for decades, have been leaning towards Biden as the most viable candidate.

Challenges for Biden's Re-nomination

Despite this trend, there are significant challenges that Biden may face. Recent developments highlight a possible rocky path for his re-nomination. Here are the key reasons why:

Why Biden's Re-nomination Stumbles

1. Poor Connecting with Working-Class Voters
Biden's attempt to project an image of a genial regular guy and a caring grandfather president has not resonated well with many voters. His first policy moves, such as canceling the Keystone XL pipeline and incentives for electric vehicles, have been criticized for benefiting the upper class at the expense of the working class. Electric vehicles are predominantly purchased by the upper-middle class and wealthy, not working-class families.

2. Open-Border Policies and their Consequences
While some progressives view open borders favorably, the reality is significantly different. Increased migration has led to economic upheaval, particularly in the lower-wage job sector. Retail jobs like those at Walmart, for example, have seen a decrease in starting wages. This is partly due to the increased labor supply from migrants who are willing to work for lower wages, putting pressure on U.S. workers.

3. Underperforming Cabinet Members
Biden's cabinet has faced scrutiny. Former Attorney General Kamala Harris, often referred to as the 'Kamala and Nuisance,' is seen as disconnected and lacking empathy. Others, like Pete Buttigieg, are accused of holding elitist views, such as viewing electric vehicle ownership as a marker of virtue rather than a practical necessity. Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin's role in the chaotic Afghanistan withdrawal has also drawn criticism. The Federal Reserve Chair, Janet Yellen (formerly Olivia Powell), is seen as a less-than-ideal choice by many.

4. Alternative Candidates
Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom, the other main alternatives, are not considered strong enough. Harris is often seen as 'Not the Trump, but not the Biden,' while Newsom is more progressive and not as widely recognized within the Democratic establishment. These factors leave Biden as the only plausible nominee under current circumstances.

Alternative Futures for the Democratic Party

Many Democrats are now looking to alternative figures like Lina Khan and Jon Stewart for the future. Khan, the FTC chair, and Stewart, the co-host of 'The Daily Show,' are seen as representatives of a new generation of empathetic and competent leaders. Their views on consumer issues and policies are in line with what many voters are seeking.

Conclusion

While it seems highly probable that Joe Biden will be the Democratic nominee for 2024, there are valid reasons to doubt his re-nomination. Economic policies, open borders, and underperforming cabinet members remain significant challenges. As voters, it is crucial to weigh these factors and explore alternative candidates who can better represent the interests of the American people.