Could the Targaryens Reclaim the Iron Throne if Rhaegar, Aegon, and Rhaenys Survived into Exile?

The scenario where Rhaegar Targaryen, Aegon, and Rhaenys survived and fled into exile presents an intriguing possibility in the world of A Song of Ice and Fire and Game of Thrones. Various factors must be considered regarding their potential to reclaim the Iron Throne from King Robert Baratheon. This article explores the conditions and strategies necessary for such a challenging endeavor.

Support from Loyalists

Targaryen Loyalists

If Rhaegar and his children survived, there would likely be a faction of Targaryen loyalists who would rally around them. This could include remnants of the old guard, such as House Martell, who had ties through Rhaegar's marriage to Elia Martell. Additionally, other powerful houses within the Reach or other regions that had previously supported the Targaryens might join their cause. Forming alliances with influential houses would be crucial in gaining substantial support to challenge Robert.

The State of the Realm

Robert's Rebellion Aftermath

After Robert's victory, the realm was still reeling from the aftermath of the war. If Rhaegar and his children returned with a strong claim and support, they could exploit any widespread discontent among the populace or nobles who were dissatisfied with Robert's rule. Instability would be a significant factor; if Robert's reign proved tumultuous, marked by ongoing conflicts or general dissatisfaction with his governance, the Targaryens could find a more favorable environment to reclaim the throne.

Military Might

Dragons

If Rhaegar had access to dragons, hypothetically their presence would significantly alter the power dynamics, giving the Targaryens a formidable advantage over Robert's forces. Rhaegar could seek out mercenary groups like the Golden Company, known for their support of Targaryen claims, to bolster his military strength. The presence of dragons and a loyal mercenary force would be a crucial factor in challenging Robert's rule.

Public Perception

Legitimacy

The survival of Rhaegar and his children would reinvigorate the Targaryen claim to the throne, especially if they were seen as the rightful heirs. Their return could inspire hope among those who still believe in the Targaryen legacy. Leveraging the narrative of their survival and rightful claim could sway public opinion against Robert, particularly if Robert's reign was characterized by tyranny or failure.

Propaganda

Utilizing propaganda to spread the message that a just and rightful ruler would return could gain significant traction. With effective communication tactics, the Targaryens could mobilize public support and gain sympathy for their cause. This would be essential in challenging Robert's rule and gaining the necessary backing from the common folk and influential houses.

Robert's Response

Countermeasures

Robert bar would likely respond aggressively to any challenge to his rule. His experience as a warrior and strategic mind would make any attempt to reclaim the throne extremely perilous for Rhaegar and his children. However, if Robert managed to secure his rule effectively and maintain loyalty among the major houses, it would be much more challenging for the Targaryens to succeed. Robert's stability and political acumen would be key factors in his ability to deflect such a grievous challenge.

Conclusion

While Rhaegar, Aegon, and Rhaenys may have had a chance to reclaim the Iron Throne under certain conditions, such as strong support, military backing, and a favorable political climate, many variables would influence their success. Ultimately, the outcome would depend on the state of Robert's rule, the strength of the Targaryen claim, and the loyalty of the realm's houses. The Targaryen's struggle to regain their throne would be fraught with challenges, requiring careful strategy and an understanding of the political landscape.