Understanding the Impact of an Attack by Mance Rayder on the Wall

In the intricate tapestry of A Song of Ice and Fire, an attack by Mance Rayder and his Wildling army on the Wall would have significant consequences. This article explores these potential ramifications, delving into the strategic and dramatic implications for various key figures and factions within the Seven Kingdoms.

King Robert's Response

If Mance Rayder and his Wildlings breached the Wall, King Robert Baratheon, despite his hedonistic lifestyle, would likely have tasked his hand, Eddard Stark, with handling the situation. With Ned Stark being one of the most loyal and capable Stark Lords, Robert would have assumed that Ned would manage the threat effectively.

The Lannisters' Perspective

The Lannisters, led by Tywin Lannister, would have had a different strategy. Rather than confronting the Wildlings, they would have allowed them to continue their raids from the north, using the chaos to weaken the North. This provided a significant strategic advantage, as the Lannister threat remained the primary one, especially with Viserion, the dragon, acting as a deterrent against any possible Lannister action.

Mance Rayder's Fate

Mance, who was once a Brother of the Night's Watch before deserting, would face a contentious between Stannis Baratheon's army and the Night King's forces, he would have no choice but to either flee or die. Stannis, with his cavalry, would relentlessly pursue and likely decimate Mance's army, notwithstanding the strategic head start given by the Wildlings. Stannis's plan to reclaim Winterfell from the Boltons would be reinforced by such a victory.

The Impact on the North

The North would be in chaos, with the potential for widespread disorder. Houses like the Boltons and possibly some northernmost lords would align to fight back the Wildlings and secure their own interests. This scenario would significantly complicate the scenario of converting the Wildlings into allies, as they would likely be viewed as a greater threat than the Boltons.

Cersei Lannister's Actions

Cersei Lannister, with her eventual victory over the Boltons, would find herself in a position of power. However, the sudden disappearance of Jon Snow would complicate her plans. Without his leadership and the support of the Night King, the final threat of the White Walkers might diminish, leading to a more peaceful resolution in the South. Nonetheless, the Iron Throne remains in contention as Jaime Lannister is drawn into the fray, and Daenerys Targaryen must eventually secure her claim.

Ultimately, the path to the Iron Throne is fraught with potential outcomes, each affecting the various factions in unique ways. The Lannisters' strategy of allowing chaos in the North would also have long-term implications, potentially weakening the North to a point where it is more susceptible to other threats, including the return of the Night King.

Thus, the attack by Mance Rayder and the Wildlings on the Wall would not only interrupt the immediate plans of various key characters but also set the stage for a prolonged and chaotic period in Westeros.