Brexit and the Undercurrents Shaping Scottish Independence

Introduction
Since the United Kingdom (UK) voted to leave the European Union (EU) in 2016, the discourse surrounding Scottish independence has gained traction. This article explores the significant impact that Brexit has had on people's views regarding an independent Scotland and the potential long-term implications.

Brexit and the People's Views on Scottish Independence

The outcome of the Brexit referendum in 2016 significantly influenced public opinion in Scotland. Initially, the majority were pro-Union, primarily supporting the UK's membership in the EU. However, the vote to leave the EU altered this stance, with many pro-Union individuals shifting their allegiance to the pro-independence camp. This shift suggests a close link between EU membership and Scottish identity, implying a desire to maintain such a status within a separate nation.

The rising support for Scottish independence can also be attributed to the increasingly polarizing nature of EU-related issues. The extent to which Scotland wishes to align itself with the EU is closely tied to its desire to maintain the benefits of EU membership, such as free trade, ease of movement, and common standards. The more Brexit progresses, the more the ideal of Scottish independence becomes an attractive alternative.

The Disconnect Between Westminster and Scottish Aspirations

It appears that Westminster's political leadership did not factor Scottish aspirations into their Brexit strategy. The Brexit process has exposed the growing disconnect between the aspirations of Scottish citizens and the actions of the UK government. This is reflected in the stark contrast between the pro-EU stance of the Scottish population and the pro-Brexit stance of the UK government.

The British government's failure to recognize and accommodate Scottish desires for closer ties with the EU has fueled the growing support for Scottish independence. There is a perception that Scotland would fare better in the EU than within the UK, aligning itself more closely with the continent's policies and standards.

Is Scotland Really More Independent Due to Brexit?

Surprisingly, despite the Brexit vote, many Scots seem to be resilient in their stance regarding the UK. A November 2022 Ipsos poll revealed that 56% of respondents supported Scottish independence, with marked regional variations. However, it's important to note that the support for independence has not remained consistent and has fluctuated over time. The latest polls in December 2023 show a slight drop in support, with only 52% favoring independence.

The Scottish National Party (SNP) continues to lobby for another independence referendum, highlighting that Westminster cannot indefinitely deny this right. While the UK government may not wish for Scotland's independence, many Scots believe that it remains a valid and feasible option in the long term.

Conclusion

As the UK navigates the complexities of Brexit, the trend towards Scottish independence continues to gather momentum. The events of the past decade, including the Brexit vote and subsequent misunderstandings between the UK and Scottish people, have paved the way for a re-evaluation of the union. The patriotism of disintegrating the UK is increasingly questioned, with many Scots seeing it as a strategic move to align with the EU and protect their interests.

The journey to Scottish independence is not without challenges, but the underlying sentiment remains strong. As the UK grapples with the aftermath of Brexit, the potential for Scotland to break away and join the EU becomes a real possibility, shaping the future of the British Isles.